John Mauldin

A Special Report By John Mauldin -
Managed Account Programs

If you take a train west from Chicago and get off at the main Hinsdale station, you can walk a few blocks and come to the home of one of my favorite commodity traders. It is an older, well restored home, with a very comfortable look and feel. When you get inside, he will take you upstairs to the large second floor office where he and three associates quietly, almost cerebrally, work, managing $170 million traded on 17 futures exchanges all over the world.

There is no trading room, no screaming traders and no sense of the crisis of the moment that you often see in commodity trading firms across the world. It has the look and feel of a very different type of commodities trading firm from what people typically expect. Yet their model has been quite successful for both the trader and his clients. One of the programs managed by this trader has averaged 20.38% annually since August of 1997 and is up 21.5% for 2008 through the end of May. He has nine other programs, one that has averaged an eye-popping 30% with far more volatility (as measured by standard deviation and maximum drawdown), and other programs which average less, depending on the clients needs.

$1,000 invested when this specific program began in 1997 would be worth almost $7700 today, compared with $1650 from investing in the S&P 500, but of course that assumes you would stay in either the program or the stock market through large draw downs. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. As you will see from the discussion below, there is substantial risk associated with commodity trading, and there will be times when the program will have substantial draw downs and volatility.

Basically, this manager is a trend follower, and his trading systems are completely automated. His "trading floor" consists of a network of computers connected with futures exchanges all over the world. He and his associates spend their time honing their trading systems, while account management, trading and every aspect of the business is running on computers neatly stacked throughout the room.

Investing in a trend follower has both advantages and disadvantages to an investor. The program is highly diversified, with long and short positions in a number of varied futures markets, including basic commodities such as grains and meats, energy products, industrial and precious metals as well as financial futures and currencies. The system is mathematically driven, highly computerized, efficient and entrepreneurial - just the characteristics to take advantage of our volatile times. The report is designed to build your understanding of how investing with a trend follower could position your investments to benefit from the volatility in today's markets.

If you would like to read the rest of this report about this very special manager, you can click here https://www.altegris.com/clarke/register.aspx and see the entire report (including important risk factors) and see his performance. I think you will find it very interesting and a potential way to diversify your investments in a very volatile commodities market.

Your loving volatility (in the right market) analyst,

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PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. INVESTMENT RETURN AND PRINCIPAL VALUE OF AN INVESTMENT WILL FLUCTUATE THEREFORE YOU MAY HAVE A GAIN OR LOSS WHEN YOU LIQUIDATE THE INVESTMENT. PLEASE NOTE (FOR FUNDS): PRIOR YEAR AND YEAR TO DATE PERFORMANCE NUMBERS ARE NOT INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED, AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE, UNTIL COMPLETION OF AN AUDIT. THERE ARE SUBSTANTIAL RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVESTMENT IN THIS PRODUCT. FOR A SUMMARY, SEE PRODUCT SPECIFIC RISKS UNDER "RISKS" OR "RISKS & CONFLICTS." READ THE OFFERING MATERIALS CAREFULLY AND CHECK WITH YOUR OWN ADVISERS BEFORE DECIDING TO INVEST. PLEASE REFER TO "NOTES TO PERFORMANCE" FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

Notes to Performance:

The performance information shown is a composite of the accounts traded under this program and does not reflect the performance of any single account. The results shown are net of all fees and expenses.

Performance results of individual accounts may vary as a result of differing fees, account size, the timing of the entry of orders and other factors.

The performance information on this page is presented on a pro-forma basis in that the percentage rate of return displayed is calculated using an annual management fee of 1.8% and an incentive fee of 25%.

Brokerage fees and all other charges are included in all calculations as actually charged.

Percentage rates of return are calculated using the Fully Funded Subset Method except for the following periods: May 1999, April 2000, April 2002 and October 2002, where the percentage rate of return is calculated using the "Nominal Account Size Basis" method. Ongoing from May 1, 2004 percentage rates of return are calculated using the "Nominal Account Size Basis" method. In the Fully Funded subset method, rates of return are based solely on those accounts which at its inception contain an amount of actual funds equal to its Nominal Account Size. In both cases the rate is calculated for any period by dividing the Net Performance for the period by the Beginning Equity plus any time-weighted additions minus any time-weighted withdrawals made during the period.

*The end date shown represents the full range of performance data available for this investment product. Note that one or more of the indices used to compare with this investment product does not include performance numbers to the end date indicated.

**The presentations of Total Return, Annualized Return, Annualized Standard Deviation, Correlation and Performance Comparison (with one or more indices), and Sharpe Ratio are prepared using data provided exclusively by independent managers and well-known, independent third-party sources. Production of such presentations is greatly automated, without subjective input by any person, through the use of manager data that is input directly into precise, pre-determined and consistently applied formulae used to compute each presentation.

Source:

Global Magnum Managed Account Program: Clarke Capital Management Inc; S & P 500 Total Return Index: Standard & Poors Inc; HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index: Hedge Fund Research Inc

Index Descriptions:

S & P 500 Total Return Index: This index is the total return version of S&P 500 index. The S&P 500 index is unmanaged and is generally representative of certain portions of the U.S. equity markets. For the S&P 500 Total Return Index, dividends are reinvested on a daily basis and the base date for the index is January 4, 1988. All regular cash dividends are assumed reinvested in the S&P 500 index on the ex-date. Special cash dividends trigger a price adjustment in the price return index.; HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index: The HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index is an equal-weighted return of all funds in the HFR Monthly Indices, excluding HFRI Fund of Funds Index.

An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Moreover, indices do not reflect commissions or fees that may be charged to an investment product based on the index, which may materially affect the performance data presented.

Risks

This brief description cannot adequately describe all of the risks associated with an investment with a commodity trading adviser (CTA). Before deciding to invest you should carefully read the entire disclosure document and consult with your own advisers.

General Risks

There are substantial risks and conflicts of interests associated with managed futures and commodities accounts, and you should only invest risk capital. The success of the investment is dependent upon the CTAs ability to identify profitable investment opportunities and to successfully trade. The identification of attractive trading opportunities is difficult, requires skill, and involves a significant degree of uncertainty. Additionally, the manager has total trading authority and the use of a single manager could mean a lack of diversification and higher risk. Returns generated from the CTAs trading, if any, may not adequately compensate you for the business and financial risks you assume. You can lose all or a substantial amount of your investment. If using notional funding, you may lose more than your initial cash investment. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

Benefit plan investors, as well as other retirement account investors, are particularly advised to read and seek further advice concerning an investment with a CTA, specifically its investment strategy and diversification, taxation, volatility, liquidity and overall prudence and suitability of the investment. A fiduciary of a plan that is subject to ERISA (an 'ERISA Plan') should determine whether such an investment is permitted under the governing ERISA Plan instruments and is appropriate for the ERISA Plan in light of the ERISA Plan's overall investment policy and the composition and diversification of its investment portfolio. If you are investing notional funds, you may have a margin call you are unable to meet without an excess contribution.

Speculative Investments and Risk of Loss

THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITIES CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. IN CONSIDERING WHETHER TO TRADE OR TO AUTHORIZE SOMEONE ELSE TO TRADE FOR YOU, YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FOLLOWING:

IF YOU PURCHASE A COMMODITY OPTION YOU MAY SUSTAIN A TOTAL LOSS OF THE PREMIUM AND OF ALL TRANSACTION COSTS.

IF YOU PURCHASE OR SELL A COMMODITY FUTURE OR SELL A COMMODITY OPTION YOU MAY SUSTAIN A TOTAL LOSS OF THE INITIAL MARGIN FUNDS AND ANY ADDITIONAL FUNDS THAT YOU DEPOSIT WITH YOUR BROKER TO ESTABLISH OR MAINTAIN YOUR POSITION. IF THE MARKET MOVES AGAINST YOUR POSITION, YOU MAY BE CALLED UPON BY YOUR BROKER TO DEPOSIT A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL MARGIN FUNDS, ON SHORT NOTICE, IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN YOUR POSITION. IF YOU DO NOT PROVIDE THE REQUESTED FUNDS WITHIN THE PRESCRIBED TIME, YOUR POSITION MAY BE LIQUIDATED AT A LOSS, AND YOU WILL BE LIABLE FOR ANY RESULTING DEFICIT IN YOUR ACCOUNT.

UNDER CERTAIN MARKET CONDITIONS, YOU MAY FIND IT DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO LIQUIDATE A POSITION. THIS CAN OCCUR, FOR EXAMPLE, WHEN THE MARKET MAKES A "LIMIT MOVE."

THE PLACEMENT OF CONTINGENT ORDERS BY YOU OR YOUR TRADING ADVISOR, SUCH AS A "STOP-LOSS" OR "STOP-LIMIT" ORDER, WILL NOT NECESSARILY LIMIT YOUR LOSSES TO THE INTENDED AMOUNTS, SINCE MARKET CONDITIONS MAY MAKE IT IMPOSSIBLE TO EXECUTE SUCH ORDERS.

A "SPREAD" POSITION MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN A SIMPLE "LONG" OR "SHORT" POSITION!

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE THAT IS OFTEN OBTAINABLE IN COMMODITY TRADING CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THE USE OF LEVERAGE CAN LEAD TO LARGE LOSSES AS WELL AS GAINS.

IN SOME CASES, MANAGED COMMODITY ACCOUNTS ARE SUBJECT TO SUBSTANTIAL CHARGES FOR MANAGEMENT AND ADVISORY FEES. IT MAY BE NECESSARY FOR THOSE ACCOUNTS THAT ARE SUBJECT TO THESE CHARGES TO MAKE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS TO AVOID DEPLETION OR EXHAUSTION OF THEIR ASSETS. THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT CONTAINS A COMPLETE DESCRIPTION OF EACH FEE TO BE CHARGED TO YOUR ACCOUNT BY THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY STUDY THOSE SECTIONS OF THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT PRIOR TOMAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION.

THIS BRIEF STATEMENT CANNOT DISCLOSE ALL THE RISKS AND OTHER SIGNIFICANT ASPECTS OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY STUDY THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT AND COMMODITY TRADING BEFORE YOU TRADE, INCLUDING THE DESCRIPTION OF THE PRINCIPAL RISK FACTORS OF THIS INVESTMENT.

YOU SHOULD ALSO BE AWARE THAT A COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR MAY ENGAGE IN TRADING FOREIGN FUTURES OR OPTIONS CONTRACTS.

TRANSACTIONS ON MARKETS LOCATED OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES, INCLUDING MARKETS FORMALLY LINKED TO A UNITED STATES MARKET MAY BE SUBJECT TO REGULATIONS WHICH OFFER DIFFERENT OR DIMINISHED PROTECTION. FURTHER, UNITED STATES REGULATORY AUTHORITIES MAY BE UNABLE TO COMPEL THE ENFORCEMENT OF THE RULES OF REGULATORY AUTHORITIES OR MARKETS IN NON-UNITED STATES JURISDICTIONS WHERE YOUR TRANSACTIONS MAY BE EFFECTED. BEFORE YOU TRADE YOU SHOULD INQUIRE ABOUT ANY RULES RELEVANT TO YOUR PARTICULAR CONTEMPLATED TRANSACTIONS AND ASK THE FIRM WITH WHICH YOU INTEND TO TRADE FOR DETAILS ABOUT THE TYPES OF REDRESS AVAILABLE IN BOTH YOUR LOCAL AND OTHER RELEVANT JURISDICTIONS.

THIS COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR IS PROHIBITED BY LAW FROM ACCEPTING FUNDS IN THE TRADING ADVISOR'S NAME FROM A CLIENT FOR TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS. YOU MUST PLACE ALL FUNDS FOR TRADING IN THIS TRADING PROGRAM DIRECTLY WITH A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT.

Fees and Expenses

Managed commodity accounts may be subject to substantial charges for management and advisory fees. It may be necessary for those accounts that are subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion of exhaustion of their assets. The disclosure document contains a complete description of each fee to be charged to your account by the CTA.

Liquidity

The CTA may trade highly illiquid markets, or on foreign markets, and may not be able to close or offset positions immediately upon request. You may have market exposure even after the CTA has a request for closure or liquidation.

Conflicts of Interest

Altegris acts as an introducing broker for individually managed futures accounts and as such, will receive a portion of the commodity brokerage commissions you pay in connection with your futures trading or receive a portion of the interest income (if any) earned on an account's assets. CTAs may also pay Altegris a portion of the fees they receive from accounts introduced to them by Altegris. Fees vary among different managed futures products and may be high. You are responsible for negotiating both brokerage commission rates and the amount of interest income credited to your account, as well as any management and performance fees you pay to any CTA trading your account. Altegris will pay Millennium Wave Securities a portion of these fees. See the additional disclosure below.

As a result, there exists a conflict between the interest of Altegris and Millennium in maximizing the commissions and fees paid by you (in which they will participate) and your interest in minimizing those commission and fees.

Leveraged Trading Activities and Volatility

The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in commodity trading can work against you as well as for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains. The funds allocated to individual CTA managed accounts may be less than the amount of cash or other assets which should be deposited for the account to be considered "fully-funded". This is the amount upon which the CTA will determine the number of contracts traded in the account and should be an amount sufficient to make it unlikely that any further cash deposits would be required while participating in the CTA program.

You are reminded that the amount of cash deposited in a CTA managed account is not the maximum possible loss that the account may experience. To the extent that the equity in an account is at any time less than the amount which the CTA has been directed to trade, you should be aware of the following:

  • Although the account's gains and losses, fees and commissions measured in dollars will be the same, they will be greater when expressed as a percentage of account equity
  • The account may receive more frequent and larger margin calls
  • When the cash amount deposited in the futures account is less than the trading level allocation, the difference between the cash invested and the trading level allocation represents leverage and magnifies the volatility of the cash rate of return. Historical composite rates of return reported by a CTA are calculated based on trading level allocation amounts and not cash deposit amounts. CTA management fees are computed based on trading level allocation amounts and, as a result, will be greater as a percentage of cash deposited than the agreed rate. Leverage increases fees and commissions as a percentage of cash invested but not the dollar amount of those fees. For example, assuming a fixed trading level allocation of $1 million and a 2% per annum management fee, the per annum management fee paid to the CTA will be $20,000 irrespective of the amount of cash deposited in the account.

There are substantial risks and conflicts of interests associated with managed futures and commodities accounts, and you should only invest risk capital. The success of an investment is dependent upon a CTA's ability to identify profitable investment opportunities and to successfully trade. The identification of attractive trading opportunities is difficult, requires skill, and involves a significant degree of uncertainty. CTAs have total trading authority, and the use of a single CTA could mean a lack of diversification and higher risk. The high degree of leverage that is often obtainable in commodity trading can work against you as well as for you. The use of leverage can lead to large losses as well as gains. Returns generated from a CTA's trading, if any, may not adequately compensate you for the business and financial risks you assume. You can lose all or a substantial amount of your investment. If you use notional funding, you may lose more than your initial cash investment. Managed futures and commodities accounts may be subject to substantial charges for management and advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts that are subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits in order to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. The disclosure document contains a complete description of each fee to be charged to your account by a CTA. CTAs may trade highly illiquid markets, or on foreign markets, and may not be able to close or offset positions immediately upon request. You may have market exposure even after the CTA has a request for closure or liquidation. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Millennium Wave Securities, LLC, a FINRA and NFA member, offers through partners with whom it has marketing agreements (including Altegris Investments in the USA) various alternative investments, including hedge funds, futures funds and managed futures and commodities accounts, that may operate in commodities markets and foreign markets, among others. Millennium Wave Securities, LLC and/or its officers/partners may have a financial interest in such alternative investments. In working with clients, Altegris acts in its capacity as an SEC-registered Broker-Dealer and/or as a CFTC-registered Introducing Broker. Although Altegris may give advice that is incidental to its brokerage services, it is not an Investment Adviser. When acting as an Introducing Broker for individually managed accounts, Altegris receives a portion of the commodity brokerage commissions you pay in connection with your futures trading and/or a portion of the interest income (if any) earned on an account's assets. CTAs may also pay Altegris a portion of the fees they receive from accounts introduced to them by Altegris. Altegris will share these fees with Millennium. 

Important Disclosures

CLARKE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT'S MANAGED ACCOUNT PROGRAM (THE PROGRAM) IS SPECULATIVE AND INVOLVES VARIOUS RISKS AND CONFLICTS OF INTEREST THAT ARE MORE FULLY DESCRIBED IN THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT. THIS PRESENTATION IS INTENDED ONLY TO PROVIDE A BRIEF OVERVIEW ABOUT THE PROGRAM AND SHOULD NOT BE RELIED ON IN DECIDING TO INVEST. IT MUST BE PRECEDED OR ACCOMPANIED BY THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY REVIEW THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT, INCLUDING THE DISCUSSION ABOUT RISKS AND CONFLICTS OF INTEREST BEFORE DECIDING TO INVEST. THERE IS NO GUARANTEE THAT THE PROGRAM WILL ACHIEVE ITS OBJECTIVES, GENERATE PROFITS OR AVOID LOSSES.

Thoughts from the Frontline
1000 North Ballpark Way, Suite 216
Arlington, TX
76011